The quality of the workforce is praised for several reasons. In manufacturing and similar industries, worker skills come from Serbia’s engineering tradition (socialist legacy) and from good quality high education (especially in ICT related sciences). In services (particularly professional services) good knowledge of English language is often cited as one of the Serbia’s workforce strengths, while digital skills of the population are on pair with some more developed European countries (according to the WEF GCI). However, the extent to which the overall education system can be praised for the quality of the workforce remains a mystery, as no major curricula overhaul has taken place during the several past decades. Moreover, vertical mismatch (overqualification – 25% employees with higher education work on jobs that do not require higher education) and horizontal mismatch (difference between the studied field and the job at which somebody is employed – 42.4% of employees between 15 and 34 with a minimum secondary education work in professions not requiring education in the field in which they obtained it) signal that there are issues both regarding enrolment quotas and connections between education and businesses.[1]
Still, as much as the quality is praised, the quantity (or lack thereof) is a well-documented issue. According to National employment agency data[2], the percentage of companies facing difficulties in finding new employees was 37% in 2019[3]. This survey indicated that almost all industries had difficulties in finding new employees. On the side of specific profiles, the most deficient were service and craft occupations (as much as 46% of the total number of missing occupations) – locksmiths, welders and flame cutters, waiters, cooks, retailers, carpenters, masons, carpenters, textile tailors, bakers, plumbers, electricians and electrical installers in buildings, car mechanics, armorers, operators of metal processing machines (metal turners, metal grinders, etc.), butchers, as well as drivers (12%). Of course, Serbia also lacks almost all types of more sophisticated labor, however, their share in the total is somewhat smaller – and that is solely due to the fact that the number of companies that need these occupations is smaller compared to the rest of the economy. In other words, a large number of companies in most economic activities face a significant labor shortage.
However, aforementioned labor shortages could be found to some extent puzzling. As many as 27.5% of working-age residents (age 15-64 years) are not looking for employment (1.13 million people), while the 8.9% are still unemployed (268.9 thousand people). In other words, companies in Serbia are eager to employ, there are still significant quantities of potentially employable people, yet still the employment rate is low and unemployment high. The problem of emigration (around 10,000 people annually), mostly to Western Europe, has become to some extent mitigated by work immigration from the third-world countries – especially present in construction and agriculture.
Resolution to the puzzle rests on two main facts. First are the aforementioned mismatches – the profiles of the unemployed do not match the needs of the employers. Second is the fact that many of the unemployed and inactive have been either unemployed or out of the labor market for a while, causing their human capital to erode, thus lowering their employability. In other words, many of the unemployed do not possess skills needed on the labor market or have been out of the labor market for a while. In any case, both groups would require reskill/upskill training, along with motivation and soft skills training for the second group. These types of trainings are indeed conducted by the National employment agency of Serbia and some donor programs (most notably E2E by SDC), however their coverage (3,500-4000 people per year, combined) is insufficient relative to the both sides’ needs. As evident that the upscale of these efforts would be beneficial, it could be that Serbia would require a training of new trainers, as these programs already function at full capacity. Still, Serbia it is striking that Serbia does not have a coherent job vacancy monitoring, as it has yet to implement the Job vacancy survey which is regularly (quarterly) conducted in all European counties, which would help streamline the labor market, education and immigration policies.
Policy recommendations
As the problem of human resources goes both ways, so do the recommendations. The first set is aimed towards the enterprises themselves and to potential donor programs, as there is a concern that the enterprises do not have sufficient capacities or knowledge on how the existing issues can be resolved. These recommendations include:
- Enhancing recruitment strategies: Establishing a strong employer brand by promoting positive attributes and values of your company. Moreover, collaboration with educational institutions or vocational training centers can be mutually beneficial.
- Manage and update skill needs: regularly review skill needs, define job roles, responsibilities and qualifications for the existing employees, and in the same fashion define the new skill/employee needs.
- Focus on employee development and retention: offer training to your employees regularly, according to the projected skill needs, as this would provide them with a career path as well, and then implement performance management systems (alike KPIs). Practices like that establish a supportive working environment, assigning mentors and teambuilding activities prove to be particularly impactful.
- Encourage employee involvement: Seek input from employees on decision-making, process improvements, and organizational initiatives. Also, implement employee feedback mechanisms: Conduct regular surveys or focus groups to gather feedback and address any concerns or suggestions.
- Finally, leverage technology: Implement HR information system (HRIS) which could help a company track the aforementioned activities.
As labor availability is a to some extent an issue that can be only addressed by the state policies, following recommendations are directed towards the Government of Serbia[4]:
- Improvement concerning a better insight into the future labour demand could be realized by implementing the Job Vacancy Survey, an instrument that tracks employers’ needs across different industries and occupations.
- The focus of the active labor market policies in the coming period could be shifted towards finding ways to re-activate the long-term unemployed and inactive population. In that sense, several measures would need to be bundled like motivation-activation training for unskilled and low-skilled persons, self-efficiency training and training at the request of an employer and training for the labour market.
- Reskilling and upskilling programs would have to be increased in scope. The current capacities of 3,000 to 4,000 persons per year are insufficient (as indicated by full utilization). However, it is a possibility that Serbia would have to implement a “training of trainers” program, and significantly increase reskilling and upskilling capacities.
- Due to the shrinking of the labour force affecting the reduced average employability of the registered unemployed population, efforts need to be intensified to increase the visibility of NES to persons who are not registered and take the necessary steps to register these people with NES.
[2] http://www1.nsz.gov.rs/live/digitalAssets/14/14362_anketa_poslodavaca_2019__godine.pdf
[3] More recent reports are not publicly available. Results from the CI survey indicate that in 2023 the share of companies facing serious difficulties in finding labor force could be almost two times larger in comparison to 2019.